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The American Prospect ·Behind the news

Has Ukraine Turned the Tide?

by Ryan Cooper

Published 2026-06-29 09:00:00+00:00

What happens when a country under siege starts out-inventing the allies who walked away?

0:00 / 7:55 · Narrator Algieba

Context

Published on 29 June 2026, the piece considers a shift few predicted following the 2024 U.S. election. It moves past the immediate political friction to look at the industrial and economic reality on the ground. The central question is how Ukraine managed to find its footing after being cut off, pivoting toward a self-reliance that is reshaping the battlefield. It asks whether the momentum has fundamentally changed, offering a look at how a conflict transforms when a nation relies on its own ingenuity and European backing.

Show notes

An assessment of Ukraine’s military and economic trajectory in the absence of United States aid. The analysis details the expansion of Ukraine’s domestic drone production, the reorganization of its infantry, and the relative stability of its economy compared to Russia’s labor shortages and systemic corruption. It concludes by evaluating the strategic impact of long-range strikes on Russian infrastructure and the internal pressures currently facing the Kremlin.

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